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Bitcoin’s Resilience Amid Uncertainty: Navigating the Path to $90K and Beyond

Bitcoin’s Resilience Amid Uncertainty: Navigating the Path to $90K and Beyond

Published:
2025-12-29 02:23:18
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As 2025 draws to a close, Bitcoin finds itself in a complex tug-of-war between bullish technical momentum and significant macroeconomic headwinds. The cryptocurrency's recent flirtation with the psychologically crucial $90,000 resistance level underscores both its underlying strength and the persistent challenges it faces. Despite a promising 5.6% gain over the past month and a current trading range between $87,000 and $88,000, Bitcoin's year-to-date performance reveals a more nuanced story, having retreated 8.3% since December 2024 after its historic peak of $126,000 in October of last year. This divergence between short-term resilience and longer-term consolidation highlights the asset's maturation within a volatile global financial landscape. The peculiar market dynamics that emerged in Q4 2025, notably influenced by shifting Federal Reserve policies and broader economic uncertainty, have created a fascinating backdrop for Bitcoin's price action. The asset's ability to hold above key support levels while testing major resistance suggests a market that is cautiously optimistic yet highly sensitive to external macro signals. For long-term bulls, this period of consolidation near all-time highs, albeit below the peak, can be viewed as a healthy recalibration after a parabolic advance. The real narrative may not be the daily battle at $90,000, but rather Bitcoin's demonstrated capacity to establish a new, elevated trading plateau. This foundation could prove critical for the next major leg up, as institutional adoption continues apace and the digital asset's role as a hedge against monetary debasement and traditional market instability becomes increasingly validated. The path forward will likely hinge on a combination of on-chain metrics, regulatory clarity, and the broader trajectory of risk assets, positioning Bitcoin for a potentially transformative 2026.

Bitcoin Tests $90K Resistance Amid Macro Uncertainty

Bitcoin flirted with the $90,000 threshold early Friday before retreating to $88,000, underscoring persistent resistance at this psychological level. The asset remains range-bound between $87,000-$88,000 despite a 0.9% 24-hour gain and 5.6% monthly advance. Year-to-date performance tells a different story—BTC has shed 8.3% since December 2024 after peaking at $126,000 last October.

Market dynamics turned peculiar in Q4 2025. Federal Reserve rate cuts—typically bullish catalysts—triggered bearish reactions instead. Traders initially punished BTC following October's cut, anticipating no further easing. December's additional cut failed to ignite momentum, leaving the market listless amid macroeconomic crosscurrents.

The $90,000 level now serves as a litmus test for trader conviction. A decisive breakout could signal renewed institutional interest, while rejection may prolong consolidation. All eyes remain on Fed policy and spot ETF flows for directional cues.

Russia’s Central Bank Acknowledges Bitcoin Mining’s Role in Ruble Strength

Russia’s Central Bank has conceded that cryptocurrency mining is contributing to the ruble’s resilience, though the exact economic impact remains unclear due to the industry’s opaque operational nature. Governor Elvira Nabiullina addressed the sector’s influence on foreign exchange markets during recent inquiries, signaling rare institutional recognition of mining’s macroeconomic effects.

Kremlin officials are now pushing to classify mining as a formal export activity in trade accounts—a move that WOULD legitimize its growing role in Russia’s economy. Deputy Chief of Staff Maxim Oreshkin framed mined cryptocurrencies as de facto exports, arguing their cross-border value flows warrant inclusion in national accounting. "We’re undervaluing a resource that leaves the country without physically crossing borders," he noted at the VTB forum.

Industry estimates suggest Russian miners generate tens of thousands of BTC annually, with daily revenue approaching 1 billion rubles. The country currently ranks as the world’s second-largest mining hub, commanding over 16% of global hashrate during peak periods.

Michael Burry Warns AI Stock Correction Could Spark Crypto Collapse

Michael Burry, the investor who foresaw the 2008 crash, now warns of parallels between today’s AI stock frenzy and past market bubbles. His short positions against Nvidia and Palantir signal conviction that a reckoning is coming—one that could spill over into crypto markets.

U.S. households now hold more wealth in stocks than real estate, a condition last seen before the dot-com crash and 1960s bear markets. Burry contends passive investing and speculative trading have amplified systemic risk. When the Nasdaq fell 30% in 2022, bitcoin lost 65% of its value—a preview of crypto’s vulnerability to equity market shocks.

The investor dismisses Bitcoin as a 'modern tulip bubble' with no intrinsic value. His track record demands attention: Burry’s 2008 bet against mortgage securities earned him $100 million personally and $700 million for his clients.

Metaplanet Adopts Bitcoin Dividend Strategy with $2.7B Treasury

Tokyo-listed Metaplanet secured shareholder approval to issue two new classes of preferred shares, leveraging its Bitcoin-heavy treasury to fund investor dividends without diluting common stockholders. The MOVE mirrors microstrategy's convertible debt model for Bitcoin acquisition.

The company will now float 555 million Class A and B shares, with Class A dividends tied to a floating-rate MARS system. Executive Dylan LeClair confirmed the votes authorize capital raises through dividend securities rather than equity dilution.

Metaplanet's pivot comes as Japan's corporate holders increasingly monetize crypto reserves. The firm's Bitcoin position—now worth $2.7 billion—positions it as the country's largest known corporate BTC holder.

|Square

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